Missouri River

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Kansas Wildlife Federation

March 19, 2004
Rose Hargrave
Master Manual Project Manager
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
12565 West Center Road
Omaha, Nebraska 68144-3869

Dear Ms. Hargrave:

This letter constitutes the formal comments of American Rivers, Environmental Defense, the Izaak Walton League of America, the National Wildlife Federation, the Montana Wildlife Federation, the North Dakota Wildlife Federation, the South Dakota Wildlife Federation, the Nebraska Wildlife Federation, the Iowa Wildlife Federation, and the Kansas Wildlife Federation on the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) for the Missouri River Master Water Control Manual Review and Update. By reference, these comments also incorporate the extensive detailed comments submitted to the Corps on February 28, 2002 by American Rivers and Environmental Defense on the Revised Draft Environmental Impact Statement (RDEIS); additional comments submitted by our organizations on drafts of this EIS since 1994; and our comments submitted on December 15, 2003 to the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (Service) regarding the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers’ (Corps) November 2003 Biological Assessment.

We first want to express our concern that the Corps is violating well-established National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) procedures by planning to announce the Record of Decision on the FEIS during the early afternoon today, while not closing the public comment period on the FEIS until the end of the day today. This clearly indicates the Corps has no intention of adequately or carefully considering public comments on the FEIS, has already made a decision about future dam operations on the Missouri River under the revised Master Manual, and is forging ahead with plans to ignore the Endangered Species Act (ESA) and the mountain of scientific evidence that point to the need to restore more natural flows on the Missouri River. By not even giving the impression of considering public comment on the FEIS, the Corps’ action can only be best described as arbitrary and capricious.

Consistent with our comments on the RDEIS, we again urge the Corps to immediately comply with federal law by ending dam operations that jeopardize the existence of federally endangered and threatened species and by implementing dam operations that will both lead to the recovery of these species and result in economic benefits for the basin. Corps analysis has consistently shown that alternatives that restore significantly more of the natural hydrograph than the Preferred Alternative (PA) have few if any adverse economic impacts and dramatically greater economic benefits. Of the alternatives presented in both the RDEIS and the FEIS, the Corps’ own analysis supports the selection of FW30 as the preferred alternative because it provides greater environmental and economic benefits. As a starting point for a true adaptive management approach, however, our organizations have agreed to support either the alternative identified as GP2021 or the alternative identified as FW20, which are comparable. FW20 and GP2021 both capture all the elements of the Reasonable and Prudent Alternative (RPA) recommended by the Service in the November 2000 Final Biological Opinion on Missouri River dam operations, as well as the December 2003 amendment to that biological opinion.

We also note that the Corps, without any supporting technical analysis or citations to supportive hydrogeomorphic studies and in contradiction of its own modeling, asserts that flow changes analyzed for FW20 and GP2021 would not be sufficient to create and maintain sandbar habitat for least terns and piping plovers. Elsewhere, however, the Corps has stated that flows only 25,000 cfs above navigation levels would be adequate to create and scour such habitat if maintained for sixty days. The Corps’ analysis demonstrates flow changes that include a 30,000 cfs spring rise for 30 days would increase economic benefits over the CWCP. While we do not believe the Corps has demonstrated that FW20 would not help create habitat, we agree that larger and more sustained flows would certainly be more beneficial. The Corps should therefore also immediately analyze an alternative that incorporates a spring rise of 25,000 cfs for sixty days using different rules regarding frequency and constraints, such as every three or five years. To the extent the Corps has relied on its unsubstantiated claims that FW20 would not be adequate to create sandbar habitat, the failure to analyze an alternative that the Corps admits would do so using flow is arbitrary and capricious.

General Comments on the FEIS

In reading the FEIS, it is clear to us that the PA is, for all intents and purposes, the status quo Current Water Control Plan (CWCP). The PA does not incorporate any of the flow modifications required by the Service in the 2000 or 2003 biological opinions, and thus will continue to jeopardize the existence of the pallid sturgeon, the interior least tern, and the piping plover on the Missouri River. Until operation of the Missouri River main stem system is reformed to include higher spring dam releases and lower summer dam releases, listed species will creep inexorably closer to extinction and additional species will be listed as endangered and threatened. Currently, more than 70 Missouri River species are listed by basin states or the federal government as rare, threatened, or endangered. Implementation of this status quo PA will do nothing to reverse this trend.

In the FEIS, the Corps has presented no new or useful scientific evidence that supports implementation of the PA without meaningful flow changes. All of the basin state fish and wildlife management agencies, the Service, and extensive research studies like the Benthic Fish Study unanimously support the restoration of some semblance of the Missouri’s natural hydrograph to improve ecosystem health. Further, the PA directly contradicts the findings of the National Academy of Sciences, which in its January 2002 Missouri River report concluded:

"Degradation of the Missouri River ecosystem will continue unless some portion of the hydrologic and geomorphic processes that sustained the pre-regulation Missouri River and floodplain ecosystem are restored – including flow pulses that emulate the natural hydrograph…The current dam and reservoir operation… to provide a steady and reliable 9-foot deep navigation channel… run(s) counter to established river science, in which a large degree of natural hydrograph variability is essential to biological productivity and species richness."

After nearly fifteen years of work, it is exceedingly disappointing that the Corps has come to the conclusion that status-quo operations will suffice on the Missouri River. The FEIS continually mentions the Corps’ goal of achieving "balance" in river uses, but yet the PA, like nearly every other alternative modeled by the Corps during this process, continues to maximize benefits to flood control and navigation at the expense of endangered and threatened species, the entire Missouri River ecosystem, and the economic potential of the river. In addition, the PA fails to provide meaningful water conservation on the Missouri River system, especially during severe droughts like we are experiencing in the basin today.

The Corps’ own analysis in both the RDEIS and the FEIS clearly show the environmental and economic benefits that would be accrued by implementing GP2021. Yet, the Corps instead ignored its own findings and selected a PA that rejects environmental and economic improvements in the basin. This suggests an appalling lack of leadership on the part of the Corps, and this action fails to live up to the notion of good government.

Specific FEIS Concerns

The PA rejects the Service’s flow requirements that are widely supported by established river science. Instead, the Corps chose to support a plan of habitat creation through artificial means. The potential benefits to pallid sturgeon and other species from the Corps’ proposed habitat work are dubious at best, and, by the Corps’ own admission, extremely expensive. Thus, it is hard to understand why the Corps failed to choose an alternative that incorporated flow changes that would instead create viable habitat more cheaply and more effectively.

The RDEIS and FEIS show that environmental alternatives incorporating the Service’s flow change requirements perform better than the PA both environmentally and economically. The entirety of Missouri River science shows that flow changes directed at endangered and threatened species like the pallid sturgeon, interior least tern, and piping plover will have positive benefits for many native riverine species on the Missouri, and at the same time will improve conditions for recreation on both the reservoirs and river stretches. Considering potential future water depletions that are likely to occur, GP2021 performs as well as or better than the PA both environmentally and economically.

The following list summarizes some of our chief concerns about the PA and its implementation. We focus this discussion on GP2021 because the Corps appears to present greater focus on this alternative as opposed to FW20, but both are highly comparable.

  • Shallow Water and Physical Habitat on Lower River: GP2021 provides 32% more shallow water habitat between Gavins Point Dam and the Osage River than the PA. The PA actually results in less native river fish habitat than even the CWCP. This clearly points to the lack of wisdom behind using bulldozers and rock to create shallow water habitat for fish instead of letting the river do its own work through flow modifications. This also calls into question the validity of spending millions of taxpayer dollars to mechanically create habitat when it would be cheaper, and in fact economically beneficial, to instead implement GP2021 and its flow changes.

  • Tern and Plover Nesting Habitat: Overall, GP2021 provides 26% more river sandbar nesting habitat for the tern and plover than the PA. There is a 77% increase in the Gavins Point reach alone from the GP2021 alternative over the PA. The Gavins Point reach is the most important nesting area on the river for these two bird species. Nesting habitat created by unbalancing the reservoirs in the PA is primarily only useful for plovers, as terns are dependent on river habitat. It is a falsehood that creating reservoir shoreline nesting habitat suffices as long-term useable habitat for these two bird species.

  • Wetland and Riparian Habitat: The environmental alternatives incorporating flow changes result in a 2,000-3,600 acre increase in wetland habitat over the PA. Though the PA shows an increase in riparian habitat, this is likely being modeled as drier land that will quickly be converted to agriculture or other uses, thus deleting this habitat "gain."

  • Spring Rise: The PA includes no commitment on the part of the Corps to ever implement increased spring flows on the river. The FEIS states numerous times that there is already a spring rise that occurs on the Missouri below the mouth of the Platte River in Nebraska. In reality, there are really only about 400 miles of river below Kansas City that experience flows that could be even remotely considered to resemble some semblance of historic patterns. The PA, therefore, would essentially leave nearly 1,500 miles of river (from the upper end of Ft. Peck Lake to Kansas City) exceedingly altered and devoid of vitally important natural flow patterns.

  • Missouri River Navigation: Amazingly, the PA actually results in an increase in navigation benefits. No explanation is provided in the FEIS, but reports are the Corps believes there are navigators eagerly awaiting formal implementation of the PA and its unnatural river flows to start utilizing the river. This lacks credibility, given the fact that cargo tonnage on the river has been declining since 1977, and since the two major barge companies that still utilize the river announced in January they would not be using the river this year. This again points to the Corps’ insistence on maximizing river operations for a phantom industry at the expense of other river uses and the health of the river itself.

  • Mississippi River Navigation: GP2021 results in a cost savings to Mississippi River barge operators of roughly $4 million annually over the PA. Despite the fact that the Missouri River is not authorized to be managed for Mississippi River uses, this reveals yet another economic benefit of managing the Missouri River more naturally.

  • Lower River Recreation: The FEIS perpetuates the Corps’ long-standing myth that the deeper the water in the lower the river, the higher the use of the lower river for recreation. Reality disputes that contention, as a river that actually looks and acts more like a river will host a greater amount of recreation than a deep, fast, dangerous ditch. Reports from the Missouri Department of Conservation clearly show that recreational use of the Missouri River in that state have increased dramatically over the past two summers, which corresponds to two years of lower summer flows. Thus, the Corps continues to wrongly penalize alternatives like GP2021 that incorporate lower summer flows in analyzing recreation benefits.

  • Lower River Power Plants: The FEIS provides no empirical evidence to support the conclusion that lower summer flows as proposed in GP2021 pose any significant risk to power generation on the lower river. Data from the Middle Missouri River Biomonitoring and Assessment project, of which American Rivers is a financial supporter, show no changes in fish and invertebrate communities attributable to thermal discharges from lower river power plants, even during the low flow periods of the past two summers. We are unaware of any reported permit violations or significant impacts to power generation at these lower river power plants during these low flow periods.

  • Reliance on Habitat Restoration: The PA also perpetuates the myth that habitat restoration alone will lead to species and ecosystem recovery. According to established river science, this is nonsense. Even the National Academy of Sciences addressed this issue in its report, concluding that habitat restoration efforts alone on the river are "insufficient to noticeably recover ecological communities and fundamental physical processes in the Missouri River ecosystem."

Compliance with the Endangered Species Act

The Corps fails to fully analyze compliance with the ESA in the FEIS. Any analysis provided is conclusory. To the extent the Corps is relying on its most recent Biological Assessment (BA) submitted to the Service last November, this document is highly flawed and invalid, as outlined in our comments on the BA referenced earlier. The FEIS does not address our comments on the BA or, in any meaningful way, previous comments to the Corps regarding its obligations to comply with the ESA. The Corps’ own regulations stipulate that a Master Manual must assure compliance with all other applicable laws, such as the ESA.

The FEIS analyzes various flow alternatives that the Service indicated would be a necessary component of compliance with the ESA, but the FEIS does not analyze various claims by the Corps that it can avoid these flow alternatives and pursue alternative means of ESA compliance.

Since impacts on endangered and threatened species are arguably the single greatest environmental impact of flow changes, any claims that the Corps could address such concerns through means other than flow changes should have been carefully analyzed in the FEIS. Such an analysis would include, for example, the scientific support for and costs of using mechanical habitat manipulation alone to try and fully meet ESA concerns. The Corps’ failure to include such analysis makes the FEIS invalid.

Failure to Provide a Reasoned Analysis for the Choice of the PA

The FEIS is fundamentally flawed for many reasons, including that it never articulates the standard used to "balance" competing interests. The only language offered on the choice of the PA is highly conclusory. It appears the Corps may have ultimately used a method that is based on avoiding any significant adverse change to any category of economic interest. The Corps never explains why such a standard should be used; this is arbitrary and capricious because it assumes that avoiding deviations from the status quo should be the overriding goal of the Master Manual, rather than balancing interests to meet contemporary needs of the basin. This kind of approach furthermore has the automatic effect of elevating the importance of the least economically valuable interests. For tiny economic interests such as Missouri River navigation, even a small change represents a large percentage change. But, for large interests like hydropower, a large change represents a tiny percentage change. This approach is the equivalent of managing the national economy in a manner that treats percentage impacts on the Frisbee industry as of equivalent concern for the same percentage impact on the auto industry.

No one would disagree there are enormous environmental interests at stake on the Missouri River. Nor can there be any disagreement that beyond even the minimum requirements to avoid jeopardy and unlawful take under the ESA, the Corps also has the affirmative obligation to carry out programs to benefit and conserve endangered and threatened species and similar obligations to try to benefit fish and wildlife under the Fish and Wildlife Coordination Act and under the Flood Control Act. In light of these statutory obligations, we believe that in addition to compliance with the jeopardy and take provisions of the ESA, the rational standard for balancing economic and environmental interests is that the Corps should implement the flow changes that will avoid jeopardy to listed species and have the greatest environmental benefits by restoring the natural hydrograph to the greatest extent practicable without sacrificing significant economic benefit. Of course, it is therefore even more compelling that the Corps implement at a minimum alternatives that restore portions of the natural hydrograph and generate net economic benefits.

Faulty Economic Analysis

In the absence of flows, the Corps proposes to comply with the ESA by engaging in additional physical habitat restoration efforts at a cost of roughly $41 million per year. Even on the assumption that such efforts would work, this is a true economic cost. The Corps therefore must include these costs in its economic analysis of the costs of alternatives that do not implement flow changes. Since these costs dwarf the economic impacts of virtually any alternative and have not been taken into proper consideration, the Corps’ economic analysis is fundamentally faulty and the resulting decision invalid.

The economic analysis is also fundamentally flawed because the Corps continues to input economic benefits for commercial navigation on the Missouri River based on an estimated annual traffic level of roughly 1.5 million tons or more. The Corps is well aware that the two main commercial barge operators remaining on the Missouri announced in January that they will not be navigating on the river this summer, in response to changes in market conditions. This means that at most only a tiny fraction of the 1.5 million tons will move on the river this year. While a small amount of asphalt may continue to be shipped by barge on the Missouri, that is a small fraction of the recent commerce. These losses on the Missouri mirror reductions in traffic on other tributaries of the Mississippi River and reflect fundamental economic changes in agriculture. The Corps’ failure to account for this dramatic change is arbitrary and capricious. It means that the Corps is essentially planning to continue to operate the river primarily for navigation when there are essentially no barges on the Missouri River.

Contradictions

The FEIS is filled with contradictions that undermine its legitimate usefulness. For example, the FEIS presents results based on models developed and provided to the public long ago that estimate significant increases in sandbar habitat available to terns and plovers from spring rises set forth in GP2021 or FW20 and FW30. However, later in the FEIS, the Corps states these spring rise levels are not adequate to create and scour sandbar habitat. The Corps provides absolutely no technical support for these contradictory claims.

Furthermore, in a deposition last fall, Mr. Larry Cieslik of the Corps stated that the Corps believed flows of 60,000 cfs for sixty days would be adequate to create and scour habitat. Under this conclusion (as opposed to the conclusion in the FEIS), the Corps should have analyzed an alternative that involved at least occasional spring flows of 60,000 cfs for sixty days. Achieving these flows would require a rise above full-navigation levels of 25,000 cfs. The Corps’ own analysis showed that a rise of 30,000 cfs for 30 days would increase economic benefits on the river. It is likely that this size of flow would not be needed once every three years. The Corps’ failure to analyze such an alternative is arbitrary and capricious.

Similarly, the Corps’ own hydropower analyses in the FEIS found that flow changes through alternatives such as GP2021 or FW20 increased total hydropower economic benefits. Yet, the Corps offers alternative forms of analysis implying that the effects are negative. There is no effort to reconcile these conflicting analyses. It remains highly unclear from the FEIS if the Corps has relied on analyses other than its own in making its decisions on the PA.

An additional problem with these alternative energy analyses is that the Corps failed to address the enormous flaws in these alternative analyses pointed out by David Marcus in earlier comments, including simply mistaken factual assumptions about thermal discharge limits at various power plants and gross misstatements of the costs of replacement power. Another obvious problem is that the Corps ignores the fact that there is no evidence that any power plant has ever been required to reduce power generation because of lower flows. The Corps assumes that the power plants it hypothesizes that might be impacted by low summer flows because of permit requirements regarding cooling water discharges would do absolutely nothing to address these issues so that they could continue to operate at full power. The NPPD Cooper plant, for example, is already today operating under a consent decree that allows it to discharge at up to 110 degrees to avoid permit violations. To come into compliance with a 95-degree temperature restriction, NPPD will have to implement some new cooling requirements regardless of any changes to the Master Manual. It is likely that Cooper could make extraordinarily cheap changes to do so, by discharging, for example, to a re-opened backwater pond, as at least one power plant does on Iowa. None of this is analyzed or discussed.

Conclusion

These comments provide a brief summary of our many concerns about the FEIS and the PA. The Corps insists on ignoring river science, its own economic analyses, public opinion, and the law by rejecting the Service’s flow modification requirements and forging ahead with a status quo plan for Missouri River dam operations.

The GP2021 alternative provides substantial environmental, recreation, and economic gains for the Missouri River basin in comparison to the PA. This compromise alternative combines sound and, in some cases, legally required fish and wildlife objectives with improvements in the economies of both the Missouri River basin and the nation. Traditional uses of the river will remain intact, yet the Missouri will more adequately support native fish and wildlife, a variety of recreational opportunities, and economic growth, and will better balance the needs of the upper basin and lower basin states.

We therefore urge the Corps to instead adopt GP2021 as the Preferred Alternative in the FEIS and implement that alternative as soon as possible.

Thank you for the opportunity to provide these comments. If you have questions, please contact Chad Smith at 402-423-7930 or csmith@amrivers.org.

Sincerely,

Chadwin B. Smith, Director
Nebraska Field Office – American Rivers
6512 Crooked Creek Drive
Lincoln, Nebraska 68516